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Cricket and football previews, stats and analysis for Asia and beyond

Implied probability

Enter the odds for each outcome of a market to see the probability each price implies, the bookmaker's margin (overround) and the "fair" probabilities with the margin removed.

Probability–
Bookmaker margin–

How it works

  • Implied probability is 1 divided by the decimal odds. At 2.00 it is 50%.
  • Add the implied probabilities of every outcome. Anything above 100% is the bookmaker's margin.
  • Dividing each implied probability by the total gives a fair estimate with the margin removed. Use it to compare your own view against the market.

Picks are opinion and analysis, not advice or a guarantee. Only stake what you can afford to lose.